Blog – Page 2 of 892 – Mike Pfefferman

07

Jul

Financial Reports

What’s Ahead For Mortgage Rates This Week – July 7th, 2025

With next week featuring both the CPI and PPI reports, the release schedule for this upcoming week will be extremely light. This previous week featured a small number of notable data releases. First being the trade deficit which has shown a sharp decline due to the tariff policies, but has increased again with the pause on tariffs. The manufacturing sector has seen growth as well with the PMI Manufacturing data, but inflation also proves to have grown just as much. Lastly, employment numbers have shown a stronger than expected labor market, but there are still expectations that things will cool further.

Manufacturing PMI
The headline index from the report, the seasonally adjusted S&P Global US Manufacturing Purchasing Managers’ Index, improved to 52.9 in June, from 52.0 in May. The latest reading was the highest since May 2022, and indicative of a solid rate of expansion. It was also the sixth successive month in which the PMI has posted above the critical 50.0 no-change mark.

Manufacturers recorded a first rise in production for four months. Growth was the second-steepest since March 2024, surpassed only by February’s near three-year record.

Employment Data
The U.S. added a decent 147,000 jobs in June, pointing to resilience in the labor market. But the pace of hiring has slowed since last year as businesses grapple with trade wars and the crackdown on immigration. About half of the new jobs were created by state and local governments, taking some shine off a seemingly solid report. The private sector only added 74,000 jobs, marking the smallest increase in eight months.

Trade Deficit
The U.S. goods and services trade deficit increased in May 2025 according to the U.S. Bureau of Economic Analysis and the U.S. Census Bureau. The deficit increased from $60.3 billion in April (revised) to $71.5 billion in May, as exports decreased more than imports. The goods deficit increased $11.2 billion in May to $97.5 billion. The services surplus decreased $0.1 billion in May to $26.0 billion.

Primary Mortgage Market Survey Index
• 15-Yr FRM rates saw a decrease of -0.09% for this week, with the current rates at 5.80%
• 30-Yr FRM rates saw a decrease of of -0.10% for this week, with the current rates at 6.67%

MND Rate Index
• 30-Yr FHA rates saw an increase of 0.06% for this week, with the current rates at 6.27%
• 30-Yr VA rates saw an increase of 0.07% for this week, with the current rates at 6.29%

Jobless Claims
Initial Claims were reported to be 233,000 compared to the expected claims of 240,000. The prior week landed at 237,000.

What’s Ahead
An extremely light release week with nothing of note. The following week will feature inflation data with the CPI and PPI reports.

04

Jul

By Mike Pfefferman

Mortgage

Reflecting on the Meaning of Independence Day

As Americans prepare to celebrate the Fourth of July, it is important to reflect on the core values that define our nation: freedom, opportunity, and the pursuit of a better life. These same ideals continue to inspire individuals and families across the country to pursue homeownership, which remains a foundational part of financial independence and long-term security.

A Historic Commitment to Liberty and Opportunity
Independence Day commemorates the signing of the Declaration of Independence in 1776. This historic moment marked the beginning of a new chapter, centered on liberty and self-determination. Today, those principles are still deeply connected to the American Dream, especially when it comes to owning a home.

Why Homeownership Reflects the American Dream
Homeownership is more than just acquiring property. It is a symbol of stability, progress, and personal achievement. For many, it represents a space to create memories, raise children, and invest in the future. A mortgage is not simply a financial obligation. It is a tool that makes the dream of ownership attainable. It opens the door to long-term equity, community involvement, and pride in what has been built through dedication and hard work.

Building Freedom Through Smart Mortgage Planning
This Fourth of July, while celebrating the freedoms secured by past generations, it is also meaningful to consider how homeownership contributes to a secure and independent future. Whether you are a first-time buyer or planning your next home, the right mortgage strategy can help you reach your goals with confidence.

Independence Begins at Home
Let us honor the spirit of independence by building futures that reflect the values of freedom, commitment, and progress.

03

Jul

By Mike Pfefferman

Mortgage

Understanding the Basics of Mortgage Securitization

What Is Mortgage Securitization?
Mortgage securitization is the financial process of pooling together multiple mortgage loans and converting them into tradable investment securities. These securities are then sold to investors in the secondary market. This process provides liquidity to lenders, enabling them to issue more loans and support continued access to home financing.

How the Process Works
The process typically begins with a lender originating mortgage loans. These loans are then sold to a financial institution or a government-sponsored enterprise such as Fannie Mae or Freddie Mac. The institution bundles the loans into a mortgage-backed security (MBS), which is structured and issued to investors. Payments made by homeowners on the underlying mortgages are passed through to the investors as returns.

Key Players in Mortgage Securitization
There are several important participants in the securitization process:

Originators: Mortgage lenders that create the initial loans.
Issuers: Institutions that pool and package the loans into securities.
Trustees: Entities that ensure the terms of the security are followed.
Investors: Individuals or institutions that purchase the securities and receive payments based on the performance of the underlying loans.
Servicers: Companies responsible for collecting payments from borrowers and distributing funds to investors.

Benefits of Mortgage Securitization
Mortgage securitization brings a number of advantages to both lenders and the overall financial system. These include:

Increased liquidity in the mortgage market.
The ability for lenders to recycle capital and issue new loans.
Diversification for investors by providing access to real estate-backed assets.
Lower borrowing costs for consumers due to improved market efficiency.

Risks and Considerations
While mortgage securitization supports market stability and growth, it is not without risk. Investors must consider the quality of the underlying loans, the potential for borrower default, and the structure of the security. Poor underwriting practices and inadequate risk assessment were major contributors to the financial crisis of 2008. Since then, stronger regulatory oversight and better transparency have been implemented to mitigate these risks.

Why It Matters to Homeowners and Borrowers
Although the process occurs largely behind the scenes, mortgage securitization directly affects the availability and pricing of home loans. It plays a critical role in ensuring that capital is consistently available to fund new mortgages, which helps keep interest rates competitive and expands access to homeownership.

Conclusion: The Engine Behind Mortgage Lending
Mortgage securitization is a foundational element of modern housing finance. Understanding how it works provides valuable insight into the broader mortgage market and its impact on borrowers, lenders, and investors alike.