26
Jun
By Mike Pfefferman
Mortgage Rates

How Economic Trends Influence Mortgage Lending

As a consumer, understanding these economic trends can empower you to make informed decisions about your mortgage. Let’s discuss some key economic factors that influence mortgage lending and what they mean for you.

Interest Rates: The Pulse of Mortgage Lending

Interest rates are perhaps the most significant economic indicator affecting mortgage lending. When the Federal Reserve adjusts its benchmark interest rate, it directly impacts the rates banks offer on mortgages.

Low-Interest Rates: In a low-interest-rate environment, borrowing costs decrease, making mortgages more affordable. This often leads to increased home buying, as lower monthly payments are more attractive to consumers.

High-Interest Rates: Conversely, high interest rates can dampen the housing market. Higher borrowing costs mean higher monthly payments, which can deter potential buyers and slow down the housing market.

Economic Growth and Employment

The overall health of the economy, measured by GDP growth and employment rates, also significantly influences mortgage lending.

Strong Economic Growth: When the economy is growing, employment rates are typically high, and wages are rising. This creates a favorable environment for mortgage lending, as more people have stable incomes and are confident in their ability to make mortgage payments. Lenders are also more willing to extend credit in such an environment.

Economic Downturns: On the flip side, during economic downturns, unemployment rises, and wages stagnate or fall. This can lead to stricter lending criteria as lenders become more cautious about extending credit. Consumers might also be more hesitant to take on large debts, such as mortgages, during uncertain times.

Inflation and Housing Market Trends

Inflation and specific trends in the housing market also play pivotal roles in mortgage lending.

Inflation: When inflation rises, the cost of living increases, and so do interest rates, as the Federal Reserve attempts to curb inflation. Higher interest rates translate to higher mortgage rates, which can slow down the housing market.

Housing Market Trends: Trends such as housing supply and demand, regional housing market strength, and overall housing prices also affect mortgage lending. In hot housing markets, where demand outstrips supply, prices rise, and lenders may become more competitive with their mortgage offerings. Conversely, in a cooling market, lenders might tighten their criteria to mitigate risk.

Government Policies and Regulations

Government policies and regulations can have a profound impact on mortgage lending.

Tax Policies: Changes in tax laws, such as the mortgage interest deduction, can influence the attractiveness of taking on a mortgage.

Regulatory Changes:
Regulatory changes can either tighten or loosen lending standards. Policies designed to encourage homeownership might make mortgages more accessible, while those aimed at preventing another financial crisis could result in stricter lending criteria.

Global Economic Factors

Global economic conditions can also trickle down to affect domestic mortgage lending. Events such as international trade tensions, geopolitical conflicts, and global economic slowdowns can impact interest rates and economic stability, influencing mortgage markets indirectly.

What This Means for You

As a potential homeowner or someone looking to refinance, staying informed about these economic trends can help you make strategic decisions. Here are some practical tips:

  1. Monitor Interest Rates: Keep an eye on the Federal Reserve’s actions and general interest rate trends. Lock in a mortgage when rates are low to save on interest over the life of your loan.
  2. Assess Your Financial Stability: Ensure that your income is stable and that you have a healthy credit score. This will make it easier to qualify for a mortgage, especially in uncertain economic times.
  3. Consider the Economic Cycle: If the economy is strong and growing, it might be a good time to buy, as employment is high, and incomes are generally rising. Conversely, during an economic downturn, you might face tighter lending conditions but could benefit from lower prices if you are financially secure.
  4. Stay Updated on Government Policies: Be aware of any changes in tax laws or regulations that could affect your mortgage. Understanding these can help you take advantage of beneficial policies or prepare for stricter lending standards.
  5. Think Long-Term: While economic conditions fluctuate, your mortgage is a long-term commitment. Consider not just the current economic environment but also your long-term financial goals and stability.

Economic trends have a significant impact on mortgage lending, influencing everything from interest rates to lender policies. By staying informed and understanding these trends, you can make better decisions and secure the best possible terms for your mortgage. Whether you’re a first-time homebuyer or looking to refinance, being aware of the economic landscape can help you navigate the complex world of mortgage lending with confidence.

25
Jun
By Mike Pfefferman
Mortgage

Can Closing Costs Be Included in Your Loan? Here’s What You Need to Know

When buying a home, many people are aware of the down payment but often overlook the additional costs that come with closing the deal. These expenses, known as closing costs, can sometimes catch buyers off guard. The good news is that, in certain circumstances, closing costs can be included in your loan. Here’s a closer look at how this works and what you need to consider.

Understanding Closing Costs

Closing costs are fees associated with the finalization of a real estate transaction. They typically include expenses such as:

  • Loan origination fees
  • Appraisal fees
  • Title insurance
  • Home inspections
  • Property taxes
  • Homeowner’s insurance

These costs can add up to 2-5% of the purchase price of the home, which can be a significant amount on top of your down payment.

Rolling Closing Costs Into Your Loan

Including closing costs in your loan means you’re essentially financing these expenses over the life of the mortgage instead of paying them upfront at closing. This can be a convenient option if you’re short on cash, but it’s important to understand how it works and the implications:

  1. Loan Type: Not all loans allow you to roll in closing costs. Conventional loans, FHA loans, and VA loans might offer this option, but the terms and availability can vary. Always check with your lender about your specific loan type.
  2. Interest Rates and Loan Amount: When you add closing costs to your loan, your loan amount increases, which can affect your monthly payment and the total interest you’ll pay over the life of the loan. Additionally, some lenders may charge a higher interest rate if you choose to roll closing costs into your mortgage.
  3. Appraisal Value: The total loan amount, including closing costs, must still fall within the appraised value of the home. If the home appraises for less than your purchase price plus closing costs, you may need to pay the difference out of pocket.

Pros:

  • Immediate Cash Flow Relief: Reduces the amount of cash you need upfront.
  • Simplifies the Closing Process: Less out-of-pocket money required at closing.

Cons:

  • Higher Monthly Payments: Increases your loan balance and monthly payments.
  • More Interest Paid Over Time: Total interest paid over the life of the loan will be higher.
  • Possible Higher Interest Rate: Lenders might charge a higher interest rate for including closing costs.

Is This the Right Choice for You?

Deciding whether to include closing costs in your loan depends on your financial situation and long-term plans. If you need to conserve cash for other expenses or investments, rolling in closing costs can be a viable option. However, if you can afford to pay these costs upfront, you’ll save money on interest in the long run.

Always discuss your options with your lender and consider consulting a financial advisor to determine the best approach for your circumstances. Understanding the details and implications will help you make an informed decision and ensure your home-buying process is as smooth and affordable as possible. Every financial decision has its trade-offs. What matters most is finding the balance that works for you and your future home.

24
Jun
By Mike Pfefferman
Financial Reports

What’s Ahead For Mortgage Rates This Week – June 24th, 2024

Currently, the Retail Sales Report is the sole report that has weight. With the passage of more optimistic inflation data reports, retail sales coming in slightly under expectations will have little to no bearing on the overall outlook. Given the last major reports indicating the economy’s health and state of inflation, there is more optimism toward a potential rate cut this year. Lending partners have still been quick to continue cutting rates.

Consumer Price Index

Sales at U.S. retailers barely rose in May, suggesting Americans are feeling the weight of lingering inflation and high interest rates. Sales edged up 0.1% last month. They had been forecast to rise 0.2%, based on a Wall Street Journal poll of economists.

Primary Mortgage Market Survey Index

  • 15-Yr FRM rates are seeing a decrease by -0.04% with the current rate at 6.13%
  • 30-Yr FRM rates are seeing a decrease by -0.08% with the current rate at 6.87%

MND Rate Index

  • 30-Yr FHA rates are seeing an increase by 0.05% for this week. Current rates at 6.49%
  • 30-Yr VA rates are seeing an increase by 0.05% for this week. Current rates at 6.50%

Jobless Claims

Initial Claims were reported to be 238,000 compared to the expected claims of 235,000. The prior week landed at 243,000.

What’s Ahead

One of the Federal Reserve’s preferred inflation data points will be released next week in the PCE Prices Report, followed closely by the Chicago PMI and the Univ. Michigan Consumer Sentiment reports.