21
Jul
By Mike Pfefferman
Financial Reports

What’s Ahead For Mortgage Rates This Week – July 21st, 2025

While inflation has slowed down since the pandemic, it is showing a faster-than-expected rise for consumers, as the CPI (Consumer Price Index) has reported a higher than expected 0.3% increase, contrasted to the 0.2% expected increase.

Meanwhile, the PPI (Producer Price Index) has proven to be entirely flat, with the largest takeaway being that signs of tariff-related inflation are — at best — scattered among data reports, leading to many speculating that the impacts have been overestimated.

Given continued inflation for consumers, it is very unlikely the Federal Reserve will make any adjustments to the rate as it adopts a “wait-and-see” approach to the administration’s policies. Another noteworthy data release is retail sales, which has shown to snap back after the concerns about tariffs and widespread price increases have eased.

Consumer Price Index
Consumer prices in June posted the biggest increase since the beginning of the year and are likely to keep the Federal Reserve from cutting interest rates later this month, but there were only scattered signs of tariff-related inflation. The consumer-price index rose 0.3% last month, the government said Tuesday, and matched Wall Street’s forecast. It was the biggest rise since January.

Producer Price Index
Wholesale prices were unchanged in June and showed only a mild effect from U.S. tariffs, adding to the growing view that trade wars won’t lead to a big surge in inflation. The flat reading in the producer-price index came in below the Wall Street forecast of a 0.2% increase.

Retail Sales
Receipts at retail cash registers rose 0.6% last month, the government said Thursday, based on seasonally adjusted numbers. That was three times the Wall Street estimate.

Primary Mortgage Market Survey Index
• 15-Yr FRM rates saw an increase of 0.06% for this week, with the current rates at 5.92%
• 30-Yr FRM rates saw an increase of 0.03% for this week, with the current rates at 6.75%

MND Rate Index
• 30-Yr FHA rates saw an increase of 0.04% for this week, with the current rates at 6.39%
• 30-Yr VA rates saw an increase of 0.03% for this week, with the current rates at 6.40%

Jobless Claims
Initial Claims were reported to be 221,000 compared to the expected claims of 234,000. The prior week landed at 228,000.

What’s Ahead
After inflation reports, there will only be the Leading Indicators report in the schedule for next week.

18
Jul
By Mike Pfefferman
Financial Reports

Could You Save Money by Refinancing Right Now?

Understanding the Real Benefits
The most common reason to refinance is to lower your monthly payment by getting a better interest rate. But refinancing can also help you pay off your loan faster, switch from an adjustable to a fixed rate, or tap into your home equity for important expenses. If your credit score has improved, or if your home has gained value, you may qualify for better loan terms now than when you originally purchased.

Lower Monthly Payments or Faster Payoff
Even a small drop in your interest rate can make a big difference over the life of your loan. For example, reducing your rate by half a percent could save thousands over the years. On the other hand, if your goal is to be mortgage-free sooner, you could refinance into a shorter term and build equity faster, sometimes with only a slight increase in your monthly payment.

Accessing Home Equity Wisely
Refinancing can also allow you to access the equity in your home through a cash-out refinance. This can be a smart option for major renovations, debt consolidation, or even funding education. However, it is important to treat home equity with care and work with a mortgage professional who can walk you through the pros and cons based on your long-term goals.

Is Now the Right Time for You
Refinancing is not one-size-fits-all. Your decision should depend on your current interest rate, how long you plan to stay in your home, closing costs, and your financial goals. Even with rates higher than they were a few years ago, refinancing may still offer financial advantages depending on your situation.

Let’s Run the Numbers Together
Before you decide, it helps to see the numbers clearly. I can review your current mortgage, compare options, and show you exactly what refinancing could mean for you. There is no pressure, just real information to help you make the best choice for your future.

17
Jul
By Mike Pfefferman
Financial Reports

The One Number More Important Than Your Credit Score for Mortgage Approval

When it comes to getting approved for a mortgage, most people immediately think of their credit score. While it is definitely important, there is another number that can play an even bigger role in your approval, our debt-to-income ratio. Also known as DTI, this number gives lenders a clearer picture of your ability to manage monthly payments and overall debt.

What Is Debt-to-Income Ratio
Your debt-to-income ratio is the percentage of your monthly gross income that goes toward paying debts. This includes things like credit cards, car loans, student loans, and the projected mortgage payment. It does not include groceries, utilities, or other everyday expenses. Lenders use this number to assess whether you can realistically afford to take on a new mortgage without becoming overextended.

Why DTI Matters More Than You Think
You could have a great credit score, but if your debt-to-income ratio is too high, it could still disqualify you from getting approved. That is because lenders want to be sure that you can comfortably handle another monthly payment. A strong DTI shows that you are living within your means and that you are in control of your financial obligations.

What Is a Good Debt-to-Income Ratio
As a general rule, most lenders look for a DTI below 43 percent, but lower is always better. If your DTI is 36 percent or under, you are in a strong position. That said, different loan programs may allow for higher ratios based on other factors, such as credit score or savings. This is where working with a mortgage professional really helps—we can explore the loan options that best match your financial picture.

How to Improve Your DTI
Improving your DTI takes a combination of increasing income and reducing debt. If possible, pay down credit card balances, avoid taking on new loans, and look for ways to boost your monthly earnings. Even small adjustments can make a meaningful difference. If buying a home is your goal, give yourself time to improve your numbers and set yourself up for success.

Let’s Take a Look at Your Numbers Together
You do not have to guess where you stand. We can help you understand your debt-to-income ratio, review your credit profile, and give you a clear idea of what kind of mortgage you can qualify for. The more you know, the more confident you can feel moving forward.