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What’s Ahead For Mortgage Rates This Week – July 15th, 2024

With lofty expectations, the CPI delivered a lower-than-expected inflation increase, leading to a positive uptake across many lending partners and markets. However, the PPI was on the opposite end of that, with a higher-than-expected inflation rate increase, muting the positive response from the CPI data release.

The outlook for a rate cut this year has changed, making the potential for it highly likely. Even Jerome Powell, who usually has a more hawkish response regarding rate cuts, is now leaving some room for this possibility. With the outlooks in favor of a rate cut, we’re seeing the impact across many markets as the potential change for rates is reduced long term.

Consumer Price Index

The cost of consumer goods and services fell in June for the first time since the pandemic in 2020, affirming a recent slowdown in inflation that could impel the Federal Reserve to cut high U.S. interest rates in the next few months. The Consumer Price Index fell 0.1% last month after no change in May, the government said Thursday. That’s the first drop since May 2020 at the height of the pandemic when the economy was mostly shut down.

Producer Price Index

Wholesale costs rose slightly faster than expected in June, but not enough to counter a recent string of reports showing inflation has slowed again. The Producer Price Index advanced 0.2% last month, the government said Friday. That was a touch faster than Wall Street’s 0.1% forecast.

Consumer Credit

Total consumer credit rose $11.3 billion in May, up from a $6.5 billion gain in the prior month, the Federal Reserve said Monday. Economists had been expecting a $8 billion gain, according to a Wall Street Journal survey. The rise in May translates into a 2.7% annual rate, stronger than the 1.5% rise in the prior month.

Primary Mortgage Market Survey Index

  • 15-Yr FRM rates are seeing a decrease by -0.08% with the current rate at 6.17%
  • 30-Yr FRM rates are seeing a decrease by -0.06% with the current rate at 6.89%

MND Rate Index

  • 30-Yr FHA rates are seeing a decrease by -0.25% for this week. Current rates at 6.25%
  • 30-Yr VA rates are seeing a decrease by -0.26% for this week. Current rates at 6.26%

Jobless Claims

Initial Claims were reported to be 222,000 compared to the expected claims of 236,000. The prior week landed at 239,000.

What’s Ahead

Proceeding reports after the inflation data releases are, as expected, having a very light release schedule. The only notable release are the retail sales reports which indicate how much consumers have leveraged their purchasing power in the last quarter.

The Difference Between Pending And Contingent Deals

The real estate market can be a bit confusing, especially when you encounter terms like “pending” and “contingent” deals. Understanding these terms is crucial whether you’re a buyer or a seller, as they can significantly impact the progression of a property transaction.

What Is a Contingent Deal?

A contingent deal occurs when a seller has accepted an offer from a buyer, but the sale is dependent on certain conditions being met. These conditions, or contingencies, are clauses included in the contract that must be satisfied for the sale to proceed. Common contingencies include:

  • Home Inspection Contingency: The buyer can back out or negotiate repairs if significant issues are found during the inspection.
  • Appraisal Contingency: The deal depends on the property being appraised at a value equal to or greater than the agreed-upon purchase price.
  • Financing Contingency: The sale hinges on the buyer securing a mortgage loan.
  • Sale of Buyer’s Property Contingency: The buyer must sell their current home before purchasing the new one.

While the property is marked as “contingent,” it remains on the market, and other buyers can submit backup offers. However, the initial buyer typically has the first right to proceed with the purchase once the contingencies are resolved.

What Is a Pending Deal?

A pending deal indicates that all contingencies have been met, and the transaction is in its final stages before closing. At this point, the property is effectively off the market, and no new offers are being considered. The steps that typically remain in a pending deal include:

  • Finalizing Financing: The buyer completes the mortgage process.
  • Title Search and Insurance: Ensuring the property title is clear of any liens or disputes.
  • Final Walkthrough: The buyer conducts a last check of the property to ensure it’s in the agreed-upon condition.
  • Closing: The final step where all documents are signed, and ownership is officially transferred.

Key Differences

The main difference between pending and contingent deals lies in the stage of the transaction process. Contingent deals have unresolved conditions that could potentially derail the sale while pending deals have cleared these hurdles and are moving toward closing.

Understanding these terms helps buyers and sellers manage their expectations and strategize accordingly. For buyers, knowing the status can influence the timing and approach to making an offer. For sellers, it’s essential to keep the transaction moving smoothly to transition from contingent to pending status successfully.

Why It Matters

In a competitive real estate market, knowing whether a property is contingent or pending can help buyers decide where to focus their efforts. For sellers, understanding these terms ensures you’re better prepared for each stage of the sale and can address potential issues proactively.

Navigating the real estate landscape involves many such nuances, and being well-informed can make the process smoother and more successful for all parties involved.

House Hacking Pros And Cons Explained

Have you ever heard of house hacking? It’s a real estate strategy that allows you to live in a property while renting out part of it to generate income. This approach helps offset your living expenses and can even pave the way to financial independence. Here’s a breakdown of what house hacking entails, along with its benefits and drawbacks.

What Is House Hacking?

House hacking involves purchasing a property, living in one part of it, and renting out the other parts. The most common setup is buying a multi-family property (like a duplex or triplex) and renting out the other units. However, house hacking can also involve renting out extra bedrooms in a single-family home or even converting parts of your property into rental spaces, such as a basement or garage apartment.

How Does House Hacking Work?

  1. Purchase a Property: First, you need to find and purchase a property that suits house hacking. This could be a multi-family home or a single-family home with additional rentable spaces.
  2. Live in Part of the Property: You occupy one unit or part of the property as your primary residence.
  3. Rent Out the Rest: You lease the other units or spaces to tenants. The rental income helps cover your mortgage, property taxes, and maintenance costs.
  4. Manage the Property: As a house hacker, you’ll also take on the role of a landlord, which includes maintaining the property, dealing with tenant issues, and handling leases.

The Pros of House Hacking

1. Reduced Housing Costs

One of the biggest advantages of house hacking is the potential to significantly reduce or even eliminate your housing costs. The rental income can cover a substantial portion of your mortgage and other property expenses, allowing you to save money or invest it elsewhere.

2. Building Equity

By owning a property, you build equity over time as you pay down the mortgage. This equity can be leveraged in the future for additional investments or major financial needs.

3. Real Estate Experience

House hacking provides firsthand experience in real estate investing and property management. It’s an excellent way to learn the ropes before diving into more significant real estate ventures.

4. Tax Benefits

As a property owner, you may be eligible for various tax deductions, including mortgage interest, property taxes, and maintenance costs. These tax benefits can make house hacking even more financially attractive.

The Cons of House Hacking

1. Landlord Responsibilities

Being a landlord comes with its own set of challenges. You’ll need to handle maintenance issues, screen tenants, and potentially deal with difficult tenant situations. This responsibility can be time-consuming and sometimes stressful.

2. Privacy Concerns

Living in close proximity to your tenants can lead to privacy concerns. You may have to navigate noise issues or conflicts that arise from shared spaces.

3. Upfront Costs

Purchasing a property requires a significant upfront investment, including a down payment, closing costs, and potential renovations. It’s essential to have a solid financial plan in place before embarking on house hacking.

4. Market Risks

Real estate markets can be unpredictable. Property values may fluctuate, and rental demand can vary based on the location and economic conditions. These factors can impact your rental income and overall investment.

Is House Hacking Right for You?

House hacking can be a powerful strategy for those looking to reduce living expenses and gain real estate experience. It is crucial to weigh the pros and cons and assess your circumstances. If you’re willing to take on the responsibilities of property management and are financially prepared for the initial investment, house hacking could be a rewarding path toward financial independence.

House hacking is more than just a trendy term in real estate. It’s a practical approach that can lead to significant financial benefits. By understanding the potential advantages and challenges, you can make an informed decision about whether house hacking is the right strategy for you.

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