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What’s Ahead For Mortgage Rates This Week – September 9th, 2024

This week, the most important release of the year regarding inflation data will occur. Once again the CPI and PPI take the front stage clearing the way for rate cuts made by the Federal Reserves. Based on several indicators, there is strong confidence that if the upcoming inflation data meets expectations, we could see interest rate cuts before the year ends. In addition to the inflation data, the Consumer Credit reports will be released early this week. Both lending partners and the broader market have high expectations for these reports.

The previous week’s employment data also had a lot of positive things to say, with wages growing faster than inflation. The overall economic outlook has been positive.

U.S. Trade Deficit

The U.S. international trade deficit widened 7.9% in July to $78.8 billion from a revised $73 billion in the prior month, the Commerce Department said Wednesday. This is the largest monthly trade gap since June 2022.

Federal Reserve Beige Book

Nine out of 12 Federal Reserve regional districts reported flat or declining economic activity in August, according to the central bank’s so-called Beige Book report released on Wednesday. That’s up from five districts that reported weak conditions in the last report in mid-July. The four districts that have experienced weaker conditions than in the prior report appeared to be Philadelphia, Richmond, Atlanta, and St. Louis.

U.S. Employee Earnings

Real average hourly earnings for all employees increased 0.1 percent from June to July, seasonally adjusted, the U.S. Bureau of Labor Statistics reported today. This result stems from an increase of 0.2 percent in average hourly earnings combined with an increase of 0.2 percent in the Consumer Price Index for All Urban Consumers (CPI-U).

Primary Mortgage Market Survey Index

  • 15-Yr FRM rates are seeing a decrease of –0.04% with the current rate at 5.47%
  • 30-Yr FRM rates saw no change this week with the current rate at 6.35%

MND Rate Index

  • 30-Yr FHA rates are seeing a –0.15% decrease for this week. Current rates at 5.67%
  • 30-Yr VA rates are seeing a –0.14% decrease for this week. Current rates at 5.69%

Jobless Claims

Initial Claims were reported to be 232,000 compared to the expected claims of 230,000. The prior week landed at 228,000.

What’s Ahead

The upcoming CPI and PPI reports are the most critical releases of the year and will play a decisive role in shaping the interest rate cuts for the remainder of the year.

In A World of Homeowners’ Associations (HOAs)

With the current shortage in housing inventory, more buyers are considering condominiums and townhomes as viable options. Most of these properties are part of a homeowners’ association (HOA), which plays a crucial role in maintaining the community. Understanding what an HOA entails can help you make an informed decision before purchasing your next home. Here’s what you need to know:

1. Mandatory Membership When you buy a home that’s part of an HOA, membership isn’t optional—it’s mandatory. Along with membership comes the responsibility of paying HOA fees, which may be billed monthly or annually. These fees typically cover the upkeep of common areas like parks, pools, and elevators, as well as building maintenance.

2. Understanding CC&Rs Every HOA has a set of rules known as Covenants, Conditions, and Restrictions (CC&Rs). These guidelines dictate what residents can and cannot do with their property. It’s essential to review these carefully, especially the sections on fines and penalties. Some HOAs have the authority to foreclose on your property for unpaid dues or fines resulting from CC&R violations.

3. Varying Fees HOA fees can vary widely from one community to another. It’s wise to ask the following questions before purchasing:

  • How are fee increases determined?
  • How often do fees increase, and by how much historically?
  • Can I see a printed history of HOA dues over the last decade?
  • What is the size of the HOA’s reserve fund?
  • What do the monthly dues cover?

4. Review Meeting Minutes Reading the minutes from the most recent HOA meetings can give you valuable insight into any ongoing or past issues within the community. These notes often highlight how conflicts are resolved and whether the HOA has taken legal action against any members.

5. Check the Insurance It’s important to know what type of catastrophe insurance the HOA carries for the property. This is especially crucial if your home is in an area susceptible to natural disasters like floods, earthquakes, or hurricanes.

6. Consider Financing Impact HOA fees can affect your financing options, so be sure to account for these costs when applying for a mortgage. Lenders will factor in these fees when determining your loan eligibility.

7. Governance and State Laws Most HOAs are incorporated entities and must adhere to state laws. The HOA is typically governed by a board of directors elected by the community members, who are responsible for enforcing the governing documents and overseeing the community’s operations.

Buying a home within an HOA community comes with both benefits and responsibilities. By understanding the rules, fees, and governance, you can make a well-informed decision that aligns with your lifestyle and financial goals.

What Single Moms Should Know About First-Time Homebuyer Grants

Owning a home as a single mom might seem challenging, but it’s more achievable than you think. With the right resources, first-time homebuyer grants, and housing programs, you can turn the dream of homeownership into reality. Here’s what you need to know.

Understanding First-Time Homebuyer Grants

First-time homebuyer grants are designed to assist individuals with low to moderate incomes in purchasing a home. These grants can significantly reduce the financial burden of buying a house by covering part of the down payment or closing costs. Although not specifically labeled for single moms, many of these grants cater to single-income households, making them an excellent resource for you.

Key Steps to Take

  1. Connect with a Housing Counselor: Start by reaching out to a HUD-approved housing counseling agency. They offer free or low-cost advice tailored to your financial situation. A counselor can help you understand your options and guide you through the process.
  2. Explore Affordable Loan Programs: While there aren’t specific loans for single moms, several mortgage programs are tailored for low-to-moderate-income borrowers. For instance:
    • FHA Loans: Offer low down payments and flexible credit requirements.
    • USDA Loans: Provide 100% financing in eligible rural and suburban areas.
    • VA Loans: Available for veterans and eligible surviving spouses, these loans offer zero down payment and no private mortgage insurance (PMI) requirements.
  3. Investigate Down Payment Assistance Programs: Down payment assistance programs are available on a county-by-county basis and can significantly reduce the upfront cost of buying a home. These are typically offered as loans or grants, and some may even be forgiven over time.
  4. Consider a Cosigner: If you’re concerned about qualifying for a mortgage on your income alone, consider having a cosigner. This can increase your purchasing power by including the cosigner’s income in the lender’s calculations.

Resources for Single Moms

Several resources can help single moms navigate the homebuying process:

  • State and Local Programs: Many states offer homebuying assistance programs. HUD’s website provides a comprehensive list of these programs by state, including links to available assistance.
  • HUD’s Special Programs: HUD offers special programs like the Good Neighbor Next Door (GNND) and homeownership options for public housing residents. These programs provide significant discounts or opportunities for low-income families to own a home.
  • Habitat for Humanity: This nonprofit organization helps low-income families build and purchase homes with affordable mortgages. Habitat for Humanity is an excellent option for those willing to contribute to the construction of their future home.

Get Started Today

Homeownership is within your reach, and the first step is to explore the resources available to you. Whether it’s a grant, a special loan program, or down payment assistance, there are many ways to make buying a home as a single mom possible. Start by connecting with a housing counselor and exploring your loan options—you might be closer to owning a home than you think.

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